631
FOUS30 KWBC 040720
QPFERD
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
218 AM EST THU MAR 04 2004
...VALID 12Z THU MAR 04 2004 - 12Z FRI MAR 05 2004...
...REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHIC UNDER...DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...
RAINFALL COULD EXCEED FFG VALUES TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM MHK
MIW PNT BAK POF 25 NNE RUE MLC SWO MHK.
THE MAIN THREAT FOR EXCSV RNFL SHLD BE FM ERN KS ACRS MO INTO IL.
THIS AREA WL BE ALNG/N OF THE MAIN SFC/8H BNDRYS WHERE LATEST FFG
VALUES ARE RELATIVELY LOW. UNSEASONABLY DEEP GULF MSTR CONTS TO
STREAM NWD WITH PWS XPCTD TO BE ARND 200 PERCENT OF NRML. THE
MDLS SHOW VRY STG 8H CVRG AND THETA-E ADV THRU THIS REGION AS 8H
FLOW INCRS TO 50-60 KTS. THE MID/UPR LVL FLOW WL BACK AS THE
SHRTWV
TROF APRCHS FM THE SW. THE UPR JET CONFIGURATION WL BCM VRY
FAVORABLE FOR INCRSG DVRG AS A JET COUPLET DVLPS BETWEEN THE
POLAR AND SBTRPCL JETS. XPCT THE BAND OF MOD RNS FM OK ACRS SRN
MO INTO THE LWR OH VLY TO LIFT NWD THRU THE DAY AND INTENSIFY AS
THE DEEP MSTR RACES NWD AND OVR THE BNDRY. XPCT A LRG REGION OF
2-3 INCH RNS WITH LCL 4-5 INCH TOTALS PSBL BY FRI MRNG.
ISOLATED EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE
FROM BVX SHV LFK VCT COT BMQ 10 ESE MWL OUN GOK MLC RKR 15 N RUE
BVX.
FARTHER S INTO TX FFG VALUES ARE HIER AND THE TIME PD OF HVY
RNS SHLD BE LESS. XPCT THE SBTRPCL MSTR PLUME TO CONT TO HELP
REDUCE THE MIDLVL CAP THRU THE REGION WITH THE LRG AREA OF
SCT RW BCMG MORE ORGANIZED LATER THIS MRNG INTO A SQUALL LN THAT
SHLD PROGRESS EWD ACRS THE ST...ALNG THE ADVNCG
DRYLN. ERLY THIS MRNG...THE INCRSG MSTR AND UPSLOPE INTO
THE HI COUNTRY SHLD COMBINE WITH A PIECE OF SBTRPCL ENERGY
THAT WL LIFT NNEWD ACRS THE REGION. THIS COULD SUPPORT
ISOLD 2-3 INCH RNS ERLY TDA OVR THE HI COUNTRY AND NEWD
ALNG THE I-35 COORIDOR. OTHERWISE...XPCT SOME LCL 1-2 INCH
RNS IN SVRL HRS.
ECKERT
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
$$
Click the links below to go to previous bulletins.
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
218 AM EST THU MAR 04 2004
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
900 PM EST WED MAR 03 2004
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
122 PM EST WED MAR 03 2004
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
850 AM EST WED MAR 03 2004
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
230 AM EST WED MAR 03 2004
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
824 PM EST TUE MAR 02 2004
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
1245 PM EST TUE MAR 02 2004
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
902 AM EST TUE MAR 02 2004
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
136 AM EST TUE MAR 02 2004
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
801 PM EST MON MAR 01 2004
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
105 PM EST MON MAR 01 2004
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
833 AM EST MON MAR 01 2004
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
224 AM EST MON MAR 01 2004
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
1259 PM EST SUN FEB 29 2004
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
903 AM EST SUN FEB 29 2004
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
226 AM EST SUN FEB 29 2004