107
ACUS01 KWNS 050602
SWODY1
SPC AC 050559
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1159 PM CST THU MAR 04 2004
VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW
LCH 55 W JAN 40 SE MKL 10 WSW BWG 20 WNW LEX 35 NE LEX 30 W HTS 30
SSE HTS 25 SE 5I3 15 NNW TRI 20 SW HSS 55 ENE RMG 50 NNE MOB 20 W
BVE.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E ORF 20 SSW RDU
20 NNE AGS 15 ENE ABY 10 SSE PFN.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW DRO 35 S GUC
50 WSW COS 30 NE PUB 10 S LAA 15 WSW LBL 40 SE GAG 10 SSW OKC 30 NW
ADM 50 SSW ADM 20 WSW MWL 25 WSW ABI 25 NNE MAF ROW 30 ESE ONM 50
SSE GNT 10 W GNT 20 WNW DRO.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S CRP 50 NE CLL 55
NW LIT 55 NNW POF 15 SE STL 40 SE UIN 30 WSW BRL 20 SSW CID 40 W DBQ
15 E GRB 25 N MBL 90 ESE OSC.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNE BML LCI EEN 45
SW ALB 15 SE AVP 25 NNW PHL 20 ENE PHL 20 SSE NEL.
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF
LA...MS...AL..NRN GA...TN...FAR WRN NC...FAR WRN VA AND KY...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE SWIFTLY ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS AND
INTO THE MS VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD. AT THE SFC...A LOW WILL MOVE
NEWD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING SWIFTLY
EWD ACROSS THE TN VALLEY AND GULF COAST STATES.
...MS/AL/TN/KY...
SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS THE MOIST AXIS CURRENTLY OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY
WITH MID 60 F SFC DEWPOINTS AS FAR NORTH AS ERN AR. AS THE MOIST
AXIS SHIFTS EWD TODAY...SFC WARMING WILL RESULT IN A CORRIDOR OF
INSTABILITY EXTENDING FROM CNTRL MS NEWD INTO SRN KY. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY CURRENTLY SHOWS A DISTURBANCE NEAR BIG BEND NP WHICH WILL
MOVE ENEWD ACROSS TX THIS MORNING AND INTO THE MID MS VALLEY THIS
AFTERNOON. LARGE-SCALE ASCENT WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE
AND WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT FRIDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE AXIS OF INSTABILITY. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SHOW 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES OF 50 TO 60 KT ACROSS THE SLIGHT
RISK AREA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS WHICH WILL BE SUFFICIENT
FOR SUPERCELL STORMS. THE BEST SUPERCELL THREAT SHOULD EXIST FROM
CNTRL MS EXTENDING NNEWD ACROSS NWRN AL INTO SCNTRL TN DURING THE
MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT MAY ALSO
EXIST WHILE CONVECTION REMAINS DISCRETE. AS CONVECTION TRANSITIONS
TO A LINEAR FORM BY EARLY TO MID EVENING...WIND DAMAGE WILL BECOME
THE MAIN THREAT. AN ISOLATED HAIL THREAT WILL ALSO EXIST ACROSS ERN
TN AND ERN KY WHERE LIFT SHOULD BE STRONGER AND TEMPS WILL BE COLDER
ALOFT THAN IN AREAS FURTHER SOUTH.
...NW TX/SW OK...
THE UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT EWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. COLD AIR ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH WILL
STEEPEN LAPSE RATES. THIS ALONG WITH LIFT FROM THE TROUGH...WILL
SUPPORT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOW ROLLING PLAINS WITH A
MARGINAL RISK FOR HAIL.
..BROYLES/TAYLOR.. 03/05/2004
...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
Click the links below to go to previous bulletins.
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1159 PM CST THU MAR 04 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0753 PM CST THU MAR 04 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0657 PM CST THU MAR 04 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0147 PM CST THU MAR 04 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1030 AM CST THU MAR 04 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0709 AM CST THU MAR 04 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1158 PM CST WED MAR 03 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0711 PM CST WED MAR 03 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0154 PM CST WED MAR 03 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1034 AM CST WED MAR 03 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0646 AM CST WED MAR 03 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1157 PM CST TUE MAR 02 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0656 PM CST TUE MAR 02 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0202 PM CST TUE MAR 02 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1022 AM CST TUE MAR 02 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0659 AM CST TUE MAR 02 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1141 PM CST MON MAR 01 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0656 PM CST MON MAR 01 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK RESENT 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0236 PM CST MON MAR 01 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0209 PM CST MON MAR 01 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1011 AM CST MON MAR 01 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0654 AM CST MON MAR 01 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1155 PM CST SUN FEB 29 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0655 PM CST SUN FEB 29 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0208 PM CST SUN FEB 29 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1027 AM CST SUN FEB 29 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0653 AM CST SUN FEB 29 2004
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1216 AM CST SUN FEB 29 2004