MKC AC 151500
CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK..REF AFOS NMCGPH940
VALID 151500 - 161200Z
WW NR 747 VALID TIL 18Z.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS PTNS OF ERN AR..ERN LA..MS..AL.. TN..KY..GA..NWRN FL. AREA IS TO RT OF LN FM 50 S GPT BTR ESF ELD JBR PAH SDF LEX LOZ TYS AHN AGS VLD 20 S TLH.

THERE IS ALSO A SLGT RISK OF SVR ELSW TO RT OF LN FM GLS SH HOT SLO DNV JXN MTC YNG INT CHS SSI CTY.

GEN TSTM ACTVTY TO RT OF LN FM MFE ALI TYS STI MKG APN.

VIGOROUS UPR LVL TROF DIGGING SEWD INTO CNTRL U.S. IN RESPONSE TO VRY STG JET MAX MOVG SEWD OVR MT/WY. AMS HAS BECOME VRY UNSTBL FM LA ACRS MS INTO TN/KY WITH SFC BASED LI OF MINUS 7 TO MINUS 9. LATEST LFM TENDS TO SHOW NEG TILT TO TROF ACRS GULF CST STATES DURG PD AS STG BAND OF PVA MOVES EWD ACRS MS/AL/GA. PRONOUNCED MID LVL DRYING PROGD TO MOVE EWD ACRS LA/MS/AL TO N OF STG SUBTROP JET ORIENTED FM C TX EWD TO SRN FL. SVR TSTMS EXPCD TO EXPLODE DURG AFTN AHD STG CDFNT FM ERN VMS AR/LA INTO TN/KY AND MOVE EWD ACRS VRY UNSTBL AMS. LOW LVL JET EXPCD TO CONT STG AHD CDFNT FM LA/MS ITO KY PROVIDING FVRBL MSTR CNVRGNC PAT. INCRSG UP LVL DVRGNC PAT OVR HIGH RISK AREA GIVES THREAT OF DMGG TORNADOES. ISOLD SVR TSTMS ALSO PSBL WITH SFC LOW MOVG NEWD ACRS IND/SERN MI/OH WHERE AMS HAS LI OF MINUS 3 TO MINUS 5.

A PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY UNDER AFOS HEADER MKCPWOMKC.

..WILSON.. 11/15/89