May 12, 1995
Public Severe Weather Outlook #1

883
WWUS36 KMKC 120850
PWOMKC
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY MO
400 AM CDT FRIDAY 12 MAY 1995

...SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS...

THE NATIONAL SEVERE STORMS FORECAST CENTER IN KANSAS CITY IS FORECASTING AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND A FEW TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL UNITED STATES.

THE STATES MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THE BRUNT OF THE SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDE...

MOST OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA
CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS
MOST OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA
EXTREME WESTERN MISSOURI
NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS

THIS IS A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SITUATION WHERE DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND A FEW STRONG TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.

AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE MOVING INTO NEBRASKA OVERNIGHT. AS THE LOW STRENGTHENS...SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE STORM WILL INCREASE WITH WARM MOIST UNSTABLE AIR FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO STREAMING NORTHWARD INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. MEANWHILE A COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE EASTWARD INTO NEBRASKA...KANSAS AND OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WITH THE COOLER DRIER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT COLLIDING WITH THE WARM HUMID AIR MASS AHEAD OF IT. IN ADDITION...WINDS OF OVER 100 MILES AN HOUR IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE WILL PROVIDE EVEN MORE ENERGY OVER THE REGION.

THIS SITUATION WILL RESULT IN AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE GREATEST THREAT OF TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL OVER MOST OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA...ALL OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS...MOST OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA...EXTREME WESTERN MISSOURI AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

MORE ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND/OR TONIGHT OVER REMAINING PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA...KANSAS AND NEBRASKA AS WELL AS WESTERN IOWA...MOST OF SOUTH DAKOTA...CENTRAL PORTIONS OF MISSOURI AND ARKANSAS AND NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS.

ALL PERSONS IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE STORM SAFETY RULES AND LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL RADIO AND TV FOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEVERE STORM WATCHES...WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS AS THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS WEATHER SITUATION UNFOLDS.

...JOSEPH ROGASH...
NATIONAL SEVERE STORMS FORECAST CENTER