ACUS1 KMKC 111613
SWODY1
MKC AC 111611
 
STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWBC.
 
VALID 111630Z - 121200Z

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
45 NNW OTM ALO 40 NE ALO 30 NNW DBQ 20 NW RFD 25 NNE MMO
35 ENE BMI 15 W CMI 45 NNW SLO 15 N STL 50 WNW STL 50 SE IRK IRK
45 NNW OTM.

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
40 S OMA 10 SE OFK 45 NNE SUX 20 E FRM 10 ENE RST 45 NNW VOK
30 ESE CWA 20 N MTW 35 NW MKG 15 E BEH 20 SSW SBN 10 ENE LAF HUF
25 SE MVN 20 SW MDH 60 N POF 10 NNE TBN 35 SSE SZL 25 NNW FNB
40 S OMA.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
40 SW OWB 30 WSW MKL 40 NNW GWO 30 W GLH 30 NW ELD 40 NNE TXK
40 SE FYV 35 NNE JLN 40 WSW SZL 20 S FNB 20 WNW BIE 15 W GRI
20 W BUB 50 SSE 9V9 30 E MHE 20 E RWF 45 NNW EAU 40 WNW IMT
45 E MQT 30 NNE PLN 30 ENE APN 55 E MTC 25 NE ERI 35 ESE BUF
30 NNW IPT 10 NNW MRB 45 W EKN 25 NE SDF 40 SW OWB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW 4LW
45 SSE RDM 30 SSW BKE 45 S 27U 25 SW MQM 10 SW BPI 15 SE RKS
25 NE GJT 30 NNW DRO 40 S FMN 45 WSW GUP 30 WNW PRC 25 N NID
50 NNE SAC 30 NNW SVE 25 SSW 4LW.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE ORF 20 SSW SSU
20 NNE LOZ 40 WNW CSV 25 SSW MSL 15 WNW MEI 25 N ESF 20 NW SHV
25 ENE PGO 40 NNE JLN OJC 25 SSE BIE 15 SE HSI 40 WSW EAR
20 SSW LBF 55 WNW VTN 20 ESE PIR 50 ENE ABR 45 W BRD 75 E ELO.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM MSS 30 SW GON.

...SYNOPSIS...
INTENSE CYCLONE OVER WRN KS WILL MOVE RAPIDLY NEWD TO NWRN IA THIS
EVENING. VERY STRONG WIND FIELDS AT ALL LEVELS ROTATING AROUND TO
E SIDE OF CYCLONE ACROSS MID MO VALLEY INTO UPPER MS VALLEY BY
TONIGHT. THIS WILL PROVIDE VERY FAVORABLE DEEP LAYER SHEAR FOR
TORNADIC SUPERCELLS AHEAD OF COLD FRONT NOW MOVING INTO ERN NEB
SSEWD INTO WRN MO.

...CENTRAL U.S...
AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES WILL DEVELOP
AHEAD OF THE INTENSE CYCLONE DURING THE AFTERNOON ACROSS IA/MO AND
SPREADING NEWD INTO IL AND SRN WI BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. 500 MB JET MAX IN EXCESS OF 100KT ROTATES ACROSS MO WITH
INTENSIFYING LOW LEVEL JET TO 60KT PROVIDING CONDITIONS FOR
TORNADIC SUPERCELLS. AIRMASS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE NWD
INTO IA AND IL AS MID 60 DEWPOINTS AND TEMPERATURES INTO 70S
PRODUCE CAPES TO 2000 J/KG.
 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING RAPIDLY ALONG AND AHEAD OF COLD
FRONT FROM ERN NEB INTO WRN MO WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD WITH
INCREASING THREAT FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ALONG AND AHEAD OF LINE
DURING THE AFTERNOON.
 
GREATEST THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT TORNADO ACTIVITY WOULD APPEAR TO BE
IN AREA OF HIGH RISK DURING AFTERNOON/EVENING.
 
ADDITIONALLY WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE IS EXPECTED ALONG SQUALL LINE
AS IT MOVES RAPIDLY NEWD INTO UPPER MS VALLEY BY EARLY TONIGHT.

..HALES.. 04/11/01

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 2000Z